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Jimmie Johnson is focused on winning his sixth championship in 2013. Statistically speaking, he has the edge over his competitors going into the final ten races. Will this be the year he gets his #6pack?
Our analysis shows Johnson's past performances at the remaining ten race tracks rank him as the favorite compared to the other drivers in NASCAR's version of the playoffs. We have specifically compared a few of his key stats to the other drivers currently in the top five in the NASCAR championship point standings (check out the chart below).
Johnson has the best driver rating and has led more laps than any of the current Sprint Cup drivers at Chicagoland (Ill.) Speedway, so although Kevin Harvick has two wins there, we think the odds are in Johnson's favor.
Johnson is the clear favorite at New Hampshire Motor Speedway compared to the other drivers in the top five, and he also gets the nod at Dover (Del.) International Speedway. Johnson's seven wins at Dover prove his domination at the track and he also leads the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series (NSCS) in driver rating (119.6) and laps led (2,066), although Matt Kenseth and Kyle Busch are both statistically very strong there as well.
In Kansas, Johnson just edges out Kenseth and at Charlotte (N.C.) Motor Speedway, Johnson leads the pack with six wins and the best driver rating, while Busch provides his stiffest statistic competition. Talladega (Ala.) Superspeedway is definitely the wild card of the last ten races. Kenseth has the best stats there, even though Johnson has one more win (two total) than Kenseth.
Martinsville (Va.) Speedway goes to Johnson hands down as he has eight wins and ranks first in NSCS driver rating (122.3) and laps led (1,810). In Texas, Kenseth gets the edge due to his driver rating and laps led, although he and Johnson are tied at two wins apiece.
Johnson statistically has the edge at Phoenix (Ariz.) International Raceway thanks to his four wins, although Busch is also typically strong there. Last but not least is the season finale at Homestead-Miami (Fla.) Speedway, where Carl Edwards and Kenseth rank at the top of the Cup field.
By our tally, Johnson takes six of the final 10 races statistically. We'd say that's a good reason to believe in a #6pack for 2013!